I’ve written quite a bit about Peter Schiff here on the blog, and finally got around to including one of his video blogs.  In it, you’ll hear Schiff address a couple of issues that I believe escape true public scrutiny, given the way these stories are shaped by the media.

With respect to gas prices, we’re now being subjected to the usual refrain that greedy oil companies are once again fleecing us at the pump.  But this infantile argument begs an easy counterattack if one were to think about it for a mere minute or two.  For example, when gas prices were falling, was that due to oil companies generosity?  I mean, c’mon -- if rising prices are due to their greed, then falling prices must be due to their generosity.  So how come we didn’t hear about the “generous” oil companies from 2009-11?  Bottom line is, the people touting this line of reasoning (or substitute it with the “blame Iran/Wall St greed/etc” screed) would have been rank-and-file “the-earth-is-flat” cheerleaders centuries ago.

I also enjoyed Schiff’s analysis of Warren Buffett’s crusade to get millionaire’s to pay more taxes (good thing he’s a billionaire so he can avoid too hard a hit).  Would be nice if Buffett was more up front about how he hides 99% of his income from the tax man.

Enjoy.
 
 
Followers of this website know that along with Nassim Taleb, Peter Schiff is the other market and investing guru that I follow closely and have a deep respect for -- and so you wouldn’t be too surprised how happy I was to hear that he was given an opportunity to testify before Congress on the current economic conditions.  The testimony occurred back on September 13, and you can watch part 1 and part 2 of his testimony on YouTube.

Basically, Schiff sticks right to the same message that he’s been touting for years, and that he used as a platform for his unsuccessful Senate run in 2010.  The major points you’ll hear in the testimony:

-- The government is a net destroyer of jobs.  For every job we see created in the tangible sense, we have no way of estimating how many jobs were destroyed or stopped from being created due to the burden of higher government spending, debt, taxes, regulation and overall intrusion into the economy.

-- Stimulating the economy with more borrowed or printed money does not make for an economic recovery; rather, it lays the foundation for greater economic pain down the road, by acting as a “sedative” that delays the necessary corrective forces in the market, thus exacerbating them when they finally run their course.

-- Speaking as a businessman (Schiff owns and runs Euro Pacific Capital), he emphasizes the fact that he has been discouraged from hiring new workers due to the high-tax, high-regulation environment our economy is subjected to.  Schiff goes so far as to point out that he has now resorted to opening new offices/branches overseas (he mentions Singapore and the Caribbean) in order to escape the tax and regulatory burden here in the States.  Effectively, these are jobs the government has driven out of the country through various misguided laws and policies.

Of course, these are just a few high points from the testimony.  If you enjoy following Schiff, or want to hear an alternative argument as to how to truly stimulate the economy as opposed to the ones consistently put forth by the government, then I recommend you take a look at the video clips contained in this post.
 
 
I was reviewing my Euro Pacific Capital investment account the other day and noted the fact that in the period spanning September 1 to October 31, my commodity basket exchange-traded fund (ETF) -- symbol ECYAF -- has appreciated over 25%.  This is a great close-to-home example of the effects of the weakening of the US dollar that I've discussed previously on this blog. 

Specifically, the fund rose by about 15% in September, and another 13% or so in October.  While I expect these numbers to come back down to earth due to recent strengthening of the dollar, I still find it a dramatic representation of the devaluation of our currency.  Moreover, I wanted to hold ECYAF out as an example of how you can hedge against currency weakness.  For me, ECYAF provides some protection in my overall portfolio from the US government’s current policies of devaluing the US dollar through Treasury bond purchasing by the Fed (printing of money).  In addition, my gains in ECYAF serve to balance out some of the lost purchasing power that inevitably occurs when the currency is debased. 

A note about Euro Pacific (or EuroPac as it’s commonly referred to): this is the firm I've mentioned on past occasions, usually when I've written about Peter Schiff.  Schiff not only runs EuroPac, but he's an accomplished author and speaker who deals head-on with the tough economic issues facing the country.  His failed Senate bid in Connecticut this year was nonetheless a valiant attempt to call attention to these economic issues, an attempt that fell short of capturing Connecticut voters' attention.  While I feel strongly about the advantages you'll gain from consuming material by Schiff, whether it's his books, video blogs, or other clips of him speaking, at a minimum I'd urge you to do some research on his investment firm and look into whether it would make sense for you to open an account with them.  To be clear, I gain nothing by referring you to them (they don't have any awareness of this blog, as far as I know) -- but I do believe that if you share some of my concerns about the state of the economy and where we may be headed, EuroPac can fill an essential role in helping you plan for some of the possibilities and build a portfolio that can be profitable throughout events like currency devaluation, inflation, and stock market volatility. 

The ECYAF fund is a great example of a hedge against these types of events.  As I mentioned, it's a "basket" of agricultural commodities, which means its value is derived from a composite value of commodities such as wheat, corn, sugar, coffee, and other items.  As the US dollar loses value, these items are accordingly priced higher, therefore lifting the value of the fund.  Conversely, when the dollar strengthens, the fund loses value.  In purchasing this ETF, I first asked myself "what is the long term outlook for the US dollar?"  Since my answer is that I think it will grow weaker over time, I therefore felt like ECYAF would provide me an opportunity to make investment gains from the dollar weakness.  I purchased it in 2008, which saw a frenetic run-up in commodities (and ECYAF by extension), followed by 2009 which brought the opposite result (as investors flocked to the dollar as a safe haven against market instability).  Recently, I've begun to recover the 2009 losses in ECYAF, and expect that the outlook for 2011 and beyond will grow increasingly healthy for this fund. 

Of course, the short term is always the toughest prediction to make (which is why I try to stay away from making predictions as much as possible here).  In my readings, I constantly come across the inflation vs. deflation argument, with respect to what will happen next in the economy.  Though I plan to examine this debate in more detail in a future post, I'll paraphrase it here: there are some who think all of the Fed's money printing will soon (12-36 months) result in inflation; there are others who feel like after all the wealth destruction and debt write downs of 2008-09, a deflationary (falling asset values and prices) period is inevitable, followed later (36+ months) by inflation.  If the second group is correct, then ECYAF will head downward in the near term before resuming its climb.  This is not necessarily a bad thing, as it would provide me an opportunity to accumulate a larger share of it before it increases again. 

I'll continue to post an occasional update about this ETF's performance, particularly as I address US dollar policy and associated issues.
 
 
I’ve mentioned Peter Schiff, President of Euro Pacific Capital, a few times on this site.  Schiff called the bursting of the housing bubble, and ran unsuccessfully for the Republican ticket in the Connecticut Senate race.  I plan on writing more about Schiff and my excellent experience with his investment firm, but in the meantime, I recommend you check in on his site once in a while to read his periodic column.  It’s usually posted weekly on Fridays, but lately has only appeared every 2-3 weeks.  Schiff is definitely a busy guy, not only running his firm but giving speeches, appearing on TV, (previously) campaigning for Senate, etc.

Check out his latest column here.  It discusses quantitative easing, dollar weakness and deflation, all of which are relevant to some of my more recent posts.