The entrepreneur is under fire in America today. Amidst a severely weakened economy, high jobless rate, and declining standard of living for most Americans, it's no wonder that successful entrepreneurs, particularly those that have amassed significant wealth, are not looked upon favorably these days. I'm here to do the unpopular and defend them. A successful free market, free enterprise system that yields the kind of prosperity this country once knew requires that all of the parts of the whole be allowed to exist in equilibrium with each other, such that they can interact naturally. The entrepreneur is as important a cog in this mechanism as any other, and the importance of his role is being overlooked at best, marginalized and vilified at worst.
"Entrepreneurs create jobs." I'm sure you've heard this cliché by now. It's true, but it's a bit oversimplified. Look at it this way: entrepreneurs take ideas into the marketplace and risk their capital (and sometimes other people's capital too) to make that idea come to fruition. When they risk capital, that capital is injected into the marketplace, where it stirs the engine of commerce. By this I mean that the entrepreneur’s application of capital creates demand where there was none (or less) to begin with. Let's look at an example of what I mean by this: Let’s say an entrepreneur decides she wants to start a website that promotes her freelance writing skills. She has amassed a small amount of capital through her earnings in her previous job. She then applies this capital to various vendors who she relies upon to get her business up and running: the company that sells her the domain name for her website; the company that hosts her domain on a secure server; the web design consultant who gains her as a client and helps her create a suitable web page. Through the pursuit of her idea to create this freelance business, she has in turn created demand for other companies' services and products, thus raising their bottom line, and in an aggregate sense, potentially impacting their decision to eventually hire more people.
Now let's say she grows her business over the course of a couple of years, and adds two writers to her staff. This constitutes the job creation aspect of her entrepreneurial effort. Two jobs exist now that would not have existed had she kept the freelance idea to herself. Let's say ten years later, she operates a multi-million dollar writing service firm, and takes home over a $1 million a year in pay. Through extremely hard work, quite a bit of lost sleep, her own personal funds, and the intangible cost of bearing the weight of risking everything she previously knew (her job) to pursue an unknown (her business), she has managed to create a comfortable lifestyle for herself. While much of her incentive to do all of this was derived from her desire for autonomy and freedom from an employer, the financial rewards played a part in her decision as well. She knew that as she amassed wealth, there would be mechanisms in place to protect that wealth and help her to grow it and allow her to use it as she sees fit: to pass on to future generations in her family, expand the writing business, or perhaps start new and different kinds of businesses. In many respects, the growth and protection of her wealth could potentially translate into even greater benefits for society as a whole.
Unfortunately, in today's society, there is a sense that individuals like those in the example above simply "owe more" than they currently pay. Since their lifestyle is perceived as "comfortable" or even “luxurious,” it's become a given that they can afford to pay more than they already do. The individual's fundamental right to his or her property -- a core tenet in a free society -- is overlooked and never even introduced into the debate these days. If you've been following the Republican Presidential primary race, you've probably heard by now that Mitt Romney has released his tax returns, revealing income of over $20 million per year the last couple of years, and an effective tax rate of 14%. Many are outraged that he pays such a low tax rate.
I'm thrilled, because it means if he can reach that point, then the same reward awaits me if I can duplicate a measure of his success. Here's another way to look at it: for every Mitt Romney who creates wealth through hard work and dedication, there are numerous others who have tried and failed. They risked everything, and lost everything. But they did so because a significant reward lay ahead for them if they succeeded. Yes, there were lots of incentives that drove them to try, but certainly we cannot discount the financial reward as one of those driving forces. Here some will argue that these individuals would still take these risks even if they didn’t pay the 14% tax rate, but instead paid some higher amount, such as the current top tax rate (35%). I counter that by saying, how do we know that for certain? How do we know some of the individuals, who may have possessed great ideas for a business or product, didn't like the fact that their hard work and risk-taking would be met by higher taxes, and passed at the idea of starting that business? How many disliked the notion that if they amassed an especially large fortune, their ability to pass it on to their family or into new businesses would be significantly impacted? How many were discouraged by the general sentiment surrounding successful entrepreneurs, who are often made to be the scapegoat or villain, especially in hard economic times like today? Or look at it pragmatically. If I’m taxed at a much higher rate, that leaves less capital with which I can risk for more business development and job creation. I’d simply have less resources on hand to try and grow my wealth any further than I already had. Why would we want to hamstring business development and initiative? Don’t we want to encourage it as much as possible? Ayn Rand wrote brilliantly about these questions in her book "Atlas Shrugged," which depicts a society where, after made the scapegoat for America’s economic distress, all of the competent businesspeople and entrepreneurs simply disappeared in protest, leaving the society's economy to stagnate and collapse. Fed up with being seen as the cause of the problem rather than the remedy, they simply dropped out of society. While it's an extreme rendering of what's possible, the general theme is what's important, and we can see the same conditions for this developing here in America today. There is one caveat that's worth mentioning. What I've written above does not apply when the access a given individual has to the basic requirements for starting a business is prohibitive, or does not equally apply to all people. In other words, the barrier to entry for starting a business should be as nonexistent as possible to encourage as many people as we can to try it. Thus, things like the administrative filings required for a business should be streamlined and inexpensive, widening the access to as many people as possible. (With the advent of the Internet and a slew of low-cost and even free resources, starting a business has probably never been easier, from a pragmatic standpoint. Unfortunately, from a regulatory standpoint, the opposite is probably true, but that's a discussion for another blog post.) I submit that if we truly desire a return to prosperity, a return to better economic times and viability within the world, we must once again embrace the entrepreneur as an equally important role within the free market system. Encouraging such individuals to pursue their ideas and grow those ideas here within our borders would be the best stimulus we could generate for the economy. Let's hope we give this a try as soon as possible, before it's too late.
We’ve all heard the countless cries by our leaders and government officials about “ending poverty,” “waging the war on poverty,” and “eliminating poverty for future generations.” They claim that if we just give them more of our wealth, more of our earnings, then we can finally, once and for all, put an end to poverty.
Meanwhile, the very system we live under, and which our government preserves and protects at every turn, continues to create poverty for millions of Americans – a system which in turn, supports and funds those leaders telling us to sacrifice more for the good of all. That system is called the “monetary system.”
You’re probably not familiar with this term, not only because it’s never mentioned in the mainstream media or in your school textbooks, but also because when you think of our economy you think of capitalism. This is not surprising since we’ve been conditioned to think we live in a capitalist society. And to some extent, we do. But the problem is, by thinking of it that way and describing it by that one word alone, we omit an important aspect of the overall system that governs our economic livelihood. Now, the term monetary system is quite broad, and so we need to look closer at what that really entails. In general, a monetary system is any economic system that assigns goods and services a value that is exchangeable through a medium such as paper (fiat) money, gold/silver, or other means. Capitalism per se does not imply the use of money – rather, it traditionally refers to things like the free market exchange of goods and services and private property rights. Thus, it is important that we separate capitalism and the monetary system in our minds in order to understand the true nature of the overall system we live under.
The use of money to govern transactions within a capitalist system is not a bad thing in and of itself. In fact, if the money has intrinsic value (such as gold or silver), this can improve the integrity of the overall economy by ensuring that the monetary value remains stable and intact, versus fluctuating significantly over time. An example of such fluctuation would be the US dollar (a fiat currency not backed by anything of value), which has lost over 90% of its purchasing power in the last century. (Indeed, most of this erosion in value occurred after 1971, when the dollar was unhinged from the gold standard.) The US monetary system, of course, is based on the use of fiat money, which can be created arbitrarily through policy decisions originating from the Federal Reserve System. In conjunction with this capability, the employment of “fractional reserve banking” provides further flexibility to the monetary system, and encourages the creation of money from, essentially, nothing. Simply put, fractional reserve banking is when banks only maintain a portion or fraction of customer deposits in reserve, while using the remainder to originate loans and thus create higher amounts of interest income. The amount of money the bank must retain in reserve is called the “reserve ratio.” Traditionally, US banks have maintained a reserve ratio of 9 to 1, meaning for every dollar kept on deposit, $9 can be lent out. The practice of fractional reserve banking is actually detailed in a booklet issued by the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank (one of the 12 regional banks under the purview of the Fed), called Modern Money Mechanics. While I think it’s worth reading the entire 40 pages of this document, this quote should suffice as a summary: “The purpose of this booklet is to describe the basic process of money creation in a ‘fractional reserve’ banking system. The approach taken illustrates the changes in bank balance sheets that occur when deposits in banks change as a result of monetary action by the Federal Reserve System - the central bank of the United States….The illustrations in the following two sections describe two processes: first, how bank deposits expand or contract in response to changes in the amount of reserves supplied by the central bank; and second, how those reserves are affected by both Federal Reserve actions and other factors.” We can translate this summary to mean one thing: banks create money out of nothing. By illustration, we can see how fractional reserve banking accomplishes this: Bank A receives a deposit of $10 million from a customer. It places $1M in reserve (according to its 10% reserve ratio requirement), and then lends out the other $9M to Bank B, collecting interest payments from Bank B.
Bank B puts $900,000 in reserve (again, 10%), and lends out the other $8.1M to Bank C, collecting interest from Bank C in the process.
Bank C puts $810,000 in reserve, and lends out the remaining $7.2M to Bank D, while collecting interest from Bank D.
…And so on, until approximately $90M (nine times the original $10M) has been created, loaned, and monetized into interest payments for all banks involved in the transaction. Thus, you can see how $1 of actual “wealth” (I use quotes because even the original fiat money deposit has no intrinsic value) becomes $9 of artificial money.
There are two things that are very pernicious about this. First is the simple fact that money that never existed in the first place is used to make even more money, through the payment of interest. Second, and more insidious since it is unseen and intangible, is what I would call the “debt-to-wealth gap” that is created by the monetary system and fractional reserve banking. Here’s what I mean by this:
There are only so many goods and services that can be produced or performed, and subsequently sold in the marketplace. In other words, there is a physical, tangible limit to it (however large and unquantifiable it may be to us). At the same time, the creation of money from nothing is dislocated from this reality, since the money is created artificially and arbitrarily, when compared to the actual value of all the goods and services available in the marketplace. In other words, there is simply more available debt than available wealth. The ease with which new and virtually endless amounts of debt/fiat money are created is the reason why there is so much more available debt than wealth. Again, the catalyst for this is relatively simple to understand -- through our monetary system and the use of fractional reserve banking, debt is generated rapidly and artificially. Conversely, wealth (for the vast majority of us) can only be generated through the exertion of labor over time. Think of it this way: in one day’s time, assuming I placed no limits on you from a credit perspective, how much debt could you get into in that one day? Probably a whole lot. A house purchase, a trip to the Ferrari dealership, maybe a new yacht – you could easily be millions of dollars in debt in the span of 24 hours. Now in that same one day’s time, how much wealth could you create? If I gave you one whole 24 hour span to generate wealth from scratch, how far do you think you’d get? Probably nowhere, and it would have nothing to do with your aptitude. Simply put, the creation of wealth would take time, energy, and effort that would far exceed one day’s time. This surplus of debt compared to available wealth comprises the debt-to-wealth gap. So what, you might be thinking…what does this have to do with you, or the poverty problem I referred to in the beginning of this article? Here’s why it is directly relevant to you: you cannot function in our economic system without getting into debt. It’s virtually impossible. If you are able to pull it off, it probably means you’re living something unlike the “American dream.” You certainly don’t have a house, and you probably don’t have a car. You most likely never went to college. In other words, all of the trappings of the American lifestyle are unavailable to you – until you take on that debt load. Once you’ve taken it on, you must generate enough cash flow to service that debt. In other words, you need a job. Now of course, we all need cash flow for the necessities of life, but the kind of job, frequency of how often we must perform that job, and length of time we must keep that job changes considerably when we have a mortgage, car loan, student loan and other debt payments to service. It’s one thing to truly work to pay for the basics (food, rent for shelter, medical care when needed), but another thing entirely to work to cover the trappings of the American lifestyle we’ve been conditioned to believe are “necessary” (nice house, two cars, vacations, yearly wardrobe changes, sundry electronic gadgets, other luxury items, etc.). In other words, the availability – and more accurately, the necessity – of debt, turns us into indentured servants, who must hold jobs whether we like them or not in order to function economically. Furthermore, when that imperative is combined with the illusion that we must continue to spend/consume in order to achieve the “American dream,” the average person’s debt load rises considerably. And what about the poverty issue I mentioned at the beginning of this post? How does the system create poverty purposefully? Now that you understand the monetary system and fractional reserve banking, it’s easy to see how. Let’s look at it through a rudimentary example: Say a bank has a home loan portfolio totaling $100 million. It created these loans off of just 10% of that figure, or $10 million (so there is only $10 million of actual deposits at stake here). The other $90 million is artificial debt created through fractional reserve banking. Now let’s say of the $100 million, $15 million worth of loans is spoiled by foreclosures and bankruptcies. Let’s see where that leaves the bank: $10 million of initial capital, turns into… $100 million of loans, with an average of 7% interest a year yielding… $7 million a year in interest income… With only $15 million of the total loan portfolio gone bad. Since the $15 million of bad loans is fake money anyway, the bank doesn’t care, since it never had that money to begin with. Its loan portfolio is generating $7 million a year, which across a 30 year standard mortgage period yields the bank revenues of over $200 million. Ultimately, the bank turned $10 million of seed capital into over $200 million…do you think it cares one bit about the $15 million in bad loans (which really translates to foreclosed homeowners, homeless people, etc.) it perpetrated along the way? Of course not – it’s just the cost of doing business. The bottom line is, the bank doesn’t care who goes bankrupt or forecloses – the bank simply cares that enough debt is created to generate enough interest income for it to be profitable. If it overshoots the mark on debt creation, and individuals go bankrupt/lose their home, it matters not – it simply performs a write-down of the loan on its books and moves on. It was fake money anyway – it never existed in the first place. The key for the banking/monetary system is to continue creating enough debt to generate enough interest to continue to be profitable and aggregate more wealth. The collateral damage along the way, in the form of impoverished/bankrupt/homeless individuals, is simply the byproduct – the remainder off of the proverbial mathematical equation – that is tolerated in the overall process. Using this premise as a backdrop, I would go on to assert that the entire 2007-09 housing collapse was nothing more than the rabid creation of debt in order to fuel more interest payments into the system, with zero regard for how many loans went bad or homeowners were devastated along the way. Why would this matter, when the banking system knew the government would step in, bail them out and cover the losses? But put the recent housing market crash aside for a moment. The real problem is this: the monetary system is on its last legs. Eventually, there is too much debt created, and no one left to service it. And when not enough entities can afford to take on debt, then the debt creation begins to grind to a halt. And when debt creation grinds to a halt, interest payments decrease and profits begin to shrink. The outstanding debts remain, but there’s less profit to offset it and make the process worthwhile for lenders. We are seeing this breakdown in the monetary system in the news every day, when we read about bank failures, rising foreclosures and shrinking home sales, states going under financially (i.e., California), entire countries going bankrupt in the EU due to systemic financial failure (i.e., Greece, Ireland, etc.), and the rising ranks of unemployed who’ve been victimized by the system and will never return to the same standard of living they once had. Once you understand that the system you’re living within places you into servitude, creates poverty knowingly and purposefully, and is impossible to get ahead within, as an individual you begin to realize that your financial and investing priorities must adapt to such realities. Ultimately, the monetary system needs to change, as it simply does not serve the interest of the vast majority of the people. When we make such a claim, and it’s a significant one, we need to do so with the full and accurate knowledge of what the system actually is and how it operates, and only then can the proper reforms be put in place.
I don't understand why Germany (the most vocal), or any other EU members for that matter, are upset about the impending second bailout of Greece. They asked for it. They should be celebrating this collective spirit, this rush to the aid of their neighbor. This is what socialism is fundamentally based upon. This is a defining moment for socialism, one which we should expect an economic collective like the EU to embrace. This is the system at work, doing what it was always designed to do. So why aren't they celebrating this defining moment? The answer is simple: everyone likes socialism, until it's their money that's taken away and redistributed.
Don't the EU countries trumpet their healthcare systems as some of the best around? Free access for everyone, no strings attached. Early retirements, big pensions, shorter workdays...it's a veritable paradise.
Until you have to loan a few billion euros to your struggling neighbor. I don't understand the 180 degree switch in attitude.
To clarify a little, the EU is not a socialist collective per se. But in relative terms, it’s embraced certain aspects of socialism to a greater extent than the US, for example. EU nations have banded together for purposes of economic solidarity, and in the process forfeited a degree of national sovereignty. Individual nations no longer have the right to decide on economic matters, according to the interests of their citizens alone. It is this collective, we’re-in-this-together approach to economics that I’m focusing on in this article.
I'll always be the first to tell anyone in a debate about economic systems that capitalism is not a good one either -- it's just the best one we're going to get. I believe the basic reason behind that is as follows: Economic freedom begets personal freedom. Socialism does not beget economic freedom, therefore socialism does not beget personal freedom. Socialism and personal freedom are not compatible. That incompatibility runs contrary to the principles our country was founded upon.
If we value personal liberty above all else, then the economic system that best supports that liberty is capitalism. At the same time, we're dealing with human beings, so we have to deal with human nature, and the desire to enrich ourselves at the expense of others can sometimes be overwhelming. Since we can never remove that impulse from people, we can never perfect capitalism.
The fact that we've never perfected it doesn't mean we should do away with it, or embrace a system like the EU. We shouldn't do away with it, that is, unless we no longer value personal freedom. When I say things like "personal freedom" and "economic freedom" I'm referring to the fact that in a capitalist system, the opportunity to work, prosper, thrive, take risks as an entrepreneur and benefit accordingly if success is achieved, is accessible and available to all. In turn, these economic freedoms go hand-in-hand with personal freedoms. Think of it in the inverse: if someone told you how much of your money you’d earned you could actually keep, and how that money should be spent, and what kinds of private property (if any) you could call your own, how free would you describe yourself?
Of course, when capitalism is distorted by the intrusion of top-down, human-based decisions and influences (such as from government officials), the opportunities normally commensurate with capitalism also become distorted. I believe this has happened in our country, but I also believe the system is salvageable. It’s salvageable because we’ve yet to implement it to the best extent possible. Shrinking our government’s role in the economy, eliminating our central bank, lowering taxes, and encouraging entrepreneurship and innovation by fostering a business-friendly environment would be a good start towards doing so.
The Greece situation provides America with a window to the down side of a socialist approach to economics. We are witnessing the sacrifices that ordinary citizens, in EU countries besides Greece, are being forced to make by their governments, bound to the notion that their economic fate is directly intertwined with Greece’s fate, mandating that the painful burden must be shared by all. Is this the kind of philosophy we want dictating our economic future?
A few weeks ago, it came to light that General Electric, one of the corporate giants in the US, paid no taxes for the year 2010, and in fact received a $3.2 billion tax benefit.
Congratulations GE. I couldn’t be happier for you. I really mean that. I’m not saying it for effect. The furor that arose over this issue -- though seems to have died down already, a mere three weeks later -- has at least briefly shone another unflattering light on the labyrinthine, nonsensical, so-damn-confusing-it’s-almost-criminal tax code that strikes fear in the hearts of individual taxpayers and keeps droves of corporate tax lawyers employed forever. GE followed the law. They worked within the confines of the law and found a way to eliminate any tax obligation while benefitting the company and its shareholders. The problem is the anger over this issue is channeled in the exact wrong direction. The Congress is responsible for the law. The Congress wrote the tax laws. The Congress is responsible for our tax code. The Congress is responsible for GE not paying any taxes. It’s the Congress’ fault. All of the other storylines here are basically immaterial. Much was made of the fact that GE’s CEO, Jeffrey Immelt, is an advisor to the President on jobs issues. So what? He doesn’t advise him on tax issues.
I also read that the fact that Immelt advises the President on jobs issues, while GE laid off over 20,000 American workers, was called into question. Another red herring. Nothing to do with the broken tax code. These issues and others: mere distractions from the core issue of a vampiric tax code that needs to be simplified. Quite frankly, I think the fact that GE didn’t have to pay any taxes and instead got money back might actually incentivize them to reinvest in the company, expand, and possibly hire more Americans into new jobs. Is that guaranteed to occur? No, but that’s the nature of private enterprise -- GE can decide the best way to grow its business and create value for its shareholders. We should be glad when companies get the opportunity to create more wealth and employment, rather than forking their profits over to an ever-expanding government that will simply squander the money. The bottom line is, if the problem is that we want our corporations to pay more taxes and avoid the kinds of loopholes that result in $0 corporate tax bills, then we need to implore the Congress to rewrite the tax code and make it simple, straightforward, and evenly applied across the board. Until the Congress does that, it’s not serious about collecting taxes from the likes of GE.
Yes, you read that correctly. And no, I’m not delusional. No matter how many times you’re told we have a capitalist system in the US, it doesn’t make it true. There are a lot of reasons why we don't have a true capitalist system in the US, but rather a hybrid of capitalism and other economic systems. I'll get to a few of those later, but I wanted to first focus on the singular piece of evidence that demonstrated that we do not operate under a true capitalist system:
The banks and other investment institutions at the center of the 2008 financial crisis were not allowed to fail.
That's it. That's really all you need to know to understand that we do not have a capitalist system. Everything else you read, see, and listen to will try to convince you otherwise. You'll hear our country referred to as capitalist in the news and print media. Politicians will trumpet the fact over and over in speeches, campaigns, and edicts. Michael Moore will make an entire documentary trashing this economic system. Let's face it -- say something enough times and people will start to believe it.
But it doesn't change the fact that we don't have a true capitalist system. (I figure if I say it enough in this post I might be able to at least temporarily neutralize the opposing message.)
The premise for saving the banks in 2008 was simply this -- you can't prove a negative. Government officials claimed the system could not be allowed to fail because "things will be so much worse if they do fail than if we bail them out." But you can't actually prove that things would be worse, and so by striking that fear of financial Armageddon into all of us, the system was propped up and taxpayer money used to bail out the entities that took all the risks in the first place.
Capitalism for the profits.
Socialism for the losses.
You see, if we had capitalism, then both the gains and the losses would have been capitalized by those institutions that generated them. Would this have had a ripple effect elsewhere on the global economy? Probably. To what extent? We don't know and we never will. We only know that the losses incurred were socialized. You and I paid for their mistakes, plain and simple.
But that’s not the only evidence we don’t have true capitalism here (it’s just the most recent and compelling one). Consider a few other examples:
1) Social Security. Money is taken from one group (workers) and redistributed to another group (primarily retirees). Any form of redistribution of wealth is not part of the capitalist ideal. If you're a worker, you pay into this redistribution to the tune of a 6.2% tax on your paycheck. The program is now headed for insolvency and threatens to contribute to the bankruptcy of our nation.
2) Medicare. Money is taken from one group (workers) and redistributed to another group (individuals over age 65). If you're a worker, you pay into this redistribution to the tune of a 1.45% tax on your paycheck. This program is costing approximately $900 billion annually (almost a tenth of our GDP), is headed for insolvency by 2020, and the enormously burdensome cost of it threatens to bankrupt our nation.
3) Auto company bailout. In the wake of the 2008 financial crisis, the government took taxpayer money and targeted a particular industry for a financial bailout. The bailout was once again pinned on the notion that you cannot prove the negative; thus, the argument was made that the auto industry's collapse would perpetuate disaster upon certain industries that support the auto industry, not to mention the car companies. Such assistance directly from the government into a commercial enterprise for the sake of altering the economic condition of that enterprise does not exist under a capitalist system.
It’s important for us to understand the true nature of the economic model that exists in our country, and I believe that model could be defined as a mix of capitalism and socialism. This blend of systems has existed for many decades and it has contributed to the current conditions we are enduring today. In many respects, we’ve ended up with the worst of each of these systems. But the mounting crisis we face today with our stagnating economy and growing debt calls for a change, and I believe that now is the right time to embrace a true capitalist system. I once read that capitalism is one of the worst economic systems around…but better than all the rest. And so, while imperfect, it is the system with the best track record for generating growth and prosperity, two things we are in desperate need of today.
Not sure who said that, and I don't mean to be flippant, but it sure seems to ring true. From the standpoint of our economy, failing to change at this time will almost certainly prove fatal to what economic prosperity may lie in our future. I thought it would be fitting on this Election Day to summarize some of the basic steps needed to bring our debt-fueled, consumption-based economy back from the brink:1. Lower everyone’s taxesEveryone in this country paying taxes needs some kind of tax relief. Even the wealthiest individuals who create businesses and jobs need lower taxes in order to incentivize them to expand existing businesses and/or create new ones. If we want to see more job creation in our country, we need to ditch the soak-the-rich mentality. That approach has helped yield a significant exodus of jobs overseas. While it's true the wealthy have plenty of income to spare to pay more taxes, corporate and capital gains taxes are what they care about most, and those are too high compared to other countries. For example, Singapore has no capital gains tax whatsoever, while ours is 15% and headed to 28% when the Bush tax cuts expire.It goes without saying that middle- and lower-middle class wage earners are paying too much in taxes. When you take the 28% income tax rate, add the 6.2% Social Security tax, 1.45% Medicare tax, and your state sales tax (mine is almost 6% in Virginia) you’re barely left with half your income (about 58% in this case, to be exact). Put another way, we have to work through the month of May to fulfill our tax obligation and before we start earning any money for ourselves. The more we pay in taxes, the less we have to spend (which supports our current economy, based heavily on consumption) or save (which will hopefully support a future economic condition, based on production).In addition to the above reasons, we must also recognize the fact that the higher the tax rates go, the less total tax revenue collected by the government (see the Laffer curve). High taxes encourage creative evasion within the tax code, as well as an incentive to earn less and be less productive to avoid paying into the higher tax brackets. Lower taxes facilitate more investment, spending, and saving, all of which positively impact the overall economy. Growing this economic pie benefits the government’s efforts to collect greater tax revenues.2. Reduce onerous government regulation on businessWhat regulations you might ask? I don't know. Somebody else needs to figure that out. I do know that in comparison to countries that are now perceived as business-friendly (you can pick almost any from the Asia-Pacific Rim), the US has one of the most burdensome regulatory environments around. Regulations costs businesses money, since they have to spend money complying with all of the regulations. Money spent on regulatory compliance is money not spent on salaries, business expansion, job creation, etc, etc. If we want more vibrancy in our job market and higher wages to go with it, we have to be willing to loosen the reins on businesses.But what if these companies abuse the looser regulatory environment? If (and it’s an enormous “if”) the government doesn’t meddle and play favorites with different companies or industries, and the market is allowed to correct the abuses, then things will sort themselves out. I know that may sound like a dissatisfying answer, but it’s the reality of the free market. One company perpetuates too many abuses on its customers, and word will spread, adversely impacting that company and leading to a change in its policy or even potential bankruptcy as it loses business.3. Freeze/cap/stop/cease and desist with the government spendingWe're $14 trillion in debt and counting (fast). Estimates for FY11 budget deficit have come in around $1.3 trillion. New records are being set every year for this kind of runaway spending. Bloomberg Businessweek reports in its October 25 issue that $1 trillion-a-year interest payments on our debt are realistic within the decade.It comes down to this: The more the government spends, the more life becomes expensive for you and me. A little oversimplified, but it's essentially true. Big government costs big dollars.And so we need much smaller government to balance out the excesses already foisted upon us. Across the board budget cuts, scaled-down military operations overseas, and even shuttering of useless government agencies is in order if we want to pull back from the brink of national bankruptcy. While we could debate the merits of big versus small government all day long, it’s a moot argument – we’re too broke to afford a big government, no matter whether it’s good for us or not. Analogizing the US to a drunken sailor is now clichéd. We need new terminology to characterize this profoundly reckless and wasteful debt being perpetrated on our future generations.4. Reform our entitlement programsSocial Security, Medicare, and the new health care plan add up to some astronomical figures cost-wise. We're easily talking about 11-figure, mind-boggling sums of money that will be required to pay for all of these programs. Who's going to come up with it? Where will it come from? The answers to those questions do not bode well for you and I (worse for our children and grandchildren), and so the only real answer is that those programs must be discontinued at some point. Take Social Security for example. By the time I collect it, it will be worth far less to me than someone collecting it today, and will represent a very small piece of the pie in terms of income sources for my retirement. But the economic burden it's causing today in terms of the payroll taxes it requires is disproportionately high. I don't pretend to have the answer to this problem, but I have to believe that some sort of orderly phase-out of the program, whereby seniors and those close to retirement still receive the full benefit while younger individuals gradually pay less and less over time, will have to be part of the solution. Personally, I'll be glad to get the 6.2% tax back into my pocket. Let me decide how to allocate that money, not the government. The outlook is no less grim for Medicare. Bloomberg Businessweek reports that Medicare will cost $929 billion a year by 2020, and with no substantial changes to the program it’ll be rendered insolvent in seven years.The government over-promised and now it must under-deliver.5. Lower our expectationsThe economic rut that we now find ourselves in has just begun, and it will last a long time. (If you go by Depression standards, which started in 1929 and lasted through WWII [approximate total of 16 years], we should be out of this hole by around 2024.) Accordingly, our expectations need to be lowered in terms of our standard of living, salaries, benefits, social programs provided by the government, and so on. In other words, we need to be prepared to do more for less to rectify past imbalances. We will have to work harder to rebuild a viable, production-based, consumption-second economy that grows our GDP, balances our trade deficits, and gradually liquidates the mountain of debt we now find ourselves under.Conversely, the typical litany of over-promises and empty rhetoric that all will be well delivered to us by our elected officials is frankly wasting the precious time we do have to act. Someone needs to level with us and acknowledge the economic realities facing the country, while offering apolitical solutions that ignore popularity and restore fiscal responsibility.What are your suggestions for improving our country’s economic health going forward? I invite you to leave suggestions in the comment box. I may decide to use some of them as discussion for a future blog post.
It’s reducing the number of jobs available in this country. Yes, the minimum wage has actually eliminated jobs. I’ll show you why in this article.
Let me begin by saying, like many legislative efforts in our country, the minimum wage law has the hallmark of good intentions. Proponents of it will often say that workers need a minimum wage in order to establish a minimum standard of living. In theory, of course, we could all agree on this. But unfortunately, in practice the law defies basic economic principles, and thus yields a distorted result far from what was intended.
In other words, the intention was to provide a minimum standard of living to workers; the result is less jobs available to those workers.
Let’s look at a hypothetical scenario. Let’s assume I run a small business, and I want to hire workers to handle some of the tasks that would traditionally be considered “minimum wage.” I have $100,000 to spend in this area for the year. I want the workers to be full time, 40 hours per week (or roughly 2,000 hours per year). I believe the labor I need the workers to perform should be worth about $5 an hour, equating to $10,000 a year. At this rate, I could offer employment to 10 individuals (10 * $10,000/year = $100,000).
Instead, I am bound by law to offer at least $7.25 per hour, or $14,500 per year. At this rate I can only employ 6.9 workers, which really means 6 since I can’t afford to round up the 0.9 persons to 1. Therefore, I only hire 6 individuals as opposed to 10, resulting in a net job loss to the overall economy of 4.
Four jobs are lost due to the minimum wage. Four people, who would have earned $10,000 a year working for me, now earn $0 and remain unemployed.
How can anyone live off of $10,000, one might argue? First off, the difference between $14,500 and $10,000 is negligible in the sense that the higher wage will not create a substantial enough difference in the individual’s ability to be self sufficient. So the argument that $10,000 isn’t a livable wage can easily be applied to $14,500. Second, a large percentage of minimum wage workers are teenagers and very young adults, who aren’t required to sustain themselves or a family.
Another argument minimum wage supporters will put forth is that if I can go as low as $5 an hour in the rate I offer the employees, why can’t I go lower? Maybe to $2 an hour? Or $0.50 an hour? In other words, what’s stopping me from abusing the situation and paying the workers next to nothing?
The answer is the market. The market will correct this abuse before it even takes place. If I offer $2 an hour for a “minimum wage” job, it’s likely that few applicants will vie for the job. The talent pool available for me to hire from will naturally shrink. On top of that, my competitor, observing the imbalance in my hourly rate offer, will expand her talent pool to hire from by offering a higher wage. Thus the bidding war begins until a reasonable and balanced wage level is reached.
I recall reading earlier this year that one of the hardest hit demographics in the ongoing unemployment situation are teenagers and very young adults. What I’ve described above is the reason why this is the case.
In the current economic climate, this is even less tolerable than it would normally be. We need to do all that’s possible to employ each individual who is willing and able to work, and by imposing artificial parameters such as a minimum wage, we conspire against achieving maximum employment. The minimum wage is an example of how interference with market forces distorts the desired result and can actually create an adverse set of conditions. If we could simply declare a particular wage as the minimum that everyone must be allowed to earn for their labor, why not just say the minimum wage is $50 an hour? Or $500 an hour? Why stop at $7.25? Who decided $7.25 was a good number? A committee? An individual? A computer? I don’t mean to belabor the point, but it’s vital that we let go of the presumption that we can simply decree a better economic condition than what would otherwise be possible.
What are your thoughts? Should we have a minimum wage? Why or why not? I look forward to your comments.
I saw the movie Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps this weekend, and I must say that I was pleasantly surprised. The movie was excellent and even exceeded the original 1987 film in some respects. There are several things I liked about it, of which I’ll detail below, but the last few points serve as the most important.
First off, I think the actors did a great job in this movie of coming across as believable and authentic in their interactions with each other. Michael Douglas’ character (the iconic Gordon Gekko) was a bit more multi-dimensional in this film compared to the original. Shia LaBeouf played the young trader role well and even injected some balanced humor into it. Carey Mulligan was solid as the love interest and easily exceeded Daryl Hannah’s stilted effort in the first film. Josh Brolin played a good villain, although I felt he was underutilized a bit. The dialogue was crisp and elicited some authentic laughs from the audience. The screenplay came across as a bit more ambitious relative to the original, as well.
Now to the important parts…
The movie was set against the 2008 financial crisis as a backdrop, and I liked this element of it. Oliver Stone, who directed the film, creates some scenes incorporating the Federal Reserve’s emergency meetings with investment bank heads. The scenes, while obviously falling far short of the depth and detail of what must have occurred in reality, did succeed at once again calling attention to the behind-the-scenes dealings that resulted in significant financial decisions, the full impact of which has yet to be known. It’s important for us not to forget that these secret meetings likely decided the fate of our economy in large part, and to this day the information we do have on them is opaque and incomplete.
In the 1987 film, I felt like Stone was employing a heavy handed message that ran across the surface of the film: greed was bad in just about any form, and collectivized labor (like the unions) was good. I thought this was an overly simplistic and basically flawed message; there were too many nuances that he glossed over. However in the sequel, I get the sense that Stone wasn’t trying to indict any one particular attribute of our economic system, but rather the entirety of the lunacy that afflicted the global economic system and has yet to run its course.
And so this leads me to my final point about Wall Street that I think was the most important part of the film. Early on, Gekko gives a speech in which he decries the ills of the derivatives market, the dangers of exotic financial products like collateralized mortgage debt, and generally raises the alarm that the worst is yet to come for our economic future. This theme appears several other times throughout the movie, and is never ascribed to just one problem or factor. Though he does have to identify a villain to make the film watchable, Stone leaves it ambiguous enough as to who’s at fault for the larger problem and what exactly will cause things to get worse. I like this because it reflects the reality of the convolution of the economic system right now, and the fact that if you asked ten different people who’s at fault for it all you’d get ten different answers.
Of course, I’d caution moviegoers who are interested in this aspect of the film that it’s secondary to the personal story being told, so you could say that my review has overemphasized it a bit. But it’s in there, and I credit Stone with ensuring there was some serious reflection on this very important subject.
I would love to hear your thoughts on the film as well, so please feel free to leave a comment.
This week the TV network NBC has been running a special event called "Education Nation," a summit of sorts to figure out what's going wrong in our nation's schools (we're currently 25th in the world in quality of education). During a news segment on this summit, a clip was shown of NYC Mayor Michael Bloomberg giving a speech on education. At one point, he talked about an experimental program whereby children would attend a 6-year high school/associates degree program in lieu of the traditional 4 years of high school followed by two years of associates degree work. Bloomberg mentioned that the program would be sponsored by City University of New York and IBM, which would then consider the graduates as "first in line" for a job within IBM. He went on to say that this program would essentially guarantee its entrants a "ticket to the middle class."
Putting aside the emotional dimension to the highly charged education issue, I see numerous absurdities in this proposal. Maybe the most obvious one is how IBM could know in six years if jobs would be available for these students as they finished the program. What if 100 students graduate and IBM only has 10 job openings? Do the other 90 students simply move on, regretting their decision to attend this school? Admittedly, I assume the program will not function in such a literal manner, and the job assignments will be handed out more dynamically. But I think it's worth highlighting that the virtual guarantee of a job opportunity does not seem like a sound premise, especially when one considers the economic environment we're in now.
Furthermore, how can we "guarantee" a ticket to the middle class when we have direct evidence of it shrinking before our eyes? I’ve referenced before on this blog the data showing median household incomes actually declining a few thousand dollars from 1988 to 2006, and I suspect the decline continued well after that given the recent economic crisis. We’ve also witnessed paper wealth (stocks, home equity) plunge dramatically since 2008, and the climb back to even in individual portfolios is going to be an uphill battle. Given these conditions today, how can we be talking about a guaranteed ticket to the middle class for students who won’t graduate this specialized school for years to come?
But there’s another thing I think we need to be mindful of with this concept of guaranteeing a middle class existence. I would loosely call it “the too good to be true factor.” It sounds great to be able to tell high school entrants what they’ll get if they complete the program. But haven’t we learned our lesson with this kind of decree? Let’s take a look at some other “guarantees” we’ve received over the decades:
In the wake of the Great Depression, Social Security was pitched as a large part of the solution to ensuring Americans had a secure financial future. Now the program is insolvent as it begins to pay out more than it takes in, and revenues continue to decline as the tax base shrinks.
Medicare and Medicaid were designed to guarantee us medical care. Both programs are now headed for bankruptcy. I just saw a headline today trumpeting the ballooning cost of Medicaid for the states, and the likelihood at least some of them will be bankrupted by that.
The new health care law passed last year was supposed to expand coverage for Americans while reducing overall costs. Instead, just a few months after passage, the Congressional Budget Office revised its projections and says the plan will indeed be more expensive than forecasted.
My point here is, when it sounds great, and it even slightly appears to defy economic realities, we need to take a closer look and scrutinize the claim, program, expense or whatever it might be. In this case, I think it’s irresponsible to state that any program could possibly guarantee a pathway into the middle class. A vibrant middle class exists on a foundation of economic freedom, low taxes, an entrepreneur-friendly environment, and many other similar factors. We cannot force or decree a middle class to exist. We have to be willing to create the conditions within which it will thrive.
Let me begin by saying I’ve never watched Stephen Colbert’s show, “The Colbert Report,” on Comedy Central. I don’t know much about it, and I don’t plan on watching it in the future. That said, I think that Colbert deserves a bit of credit for his trip to Capitol Hill last week to deliver a satirical take on the country’s immigration challenges. A link to the YouTube video of it is here.If you watch the video, you may have some mixed emotions about what Colbert did. I’ve heard many people say that, whether you agree with his intent or not, it was disrespectful to the Congress and its procedural tradition. I disagree, and furthermore I believe that what Colbert did was commendable.Let me insert here that I don’t use this blog to make political commentary; anything resembling it is simply coincidental to economic issues and policy considerations. And in this case, I believe there is a connection between what Colbert did and the economic challenges facing the country now. Allow me to explain.Earlier this year, I watched numerous CSPAN broadcasts of Congressional hearings on the financial crisis, the bailouts, and our current economic predicament. I witnessed a variety of individuals testifying, including Treasury Secretary Geithner, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, and former Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson. I can state unequivocally that in every single case, the hearing I watched was a complete farce, accomplishing nothing but the provision of an opportunity for all parties involved to go on the record with their version of the events in question. This especially applied to the Senators and Representatives who questioned the witnesses in an apparently thorough and sometimes aggressive manner, while simultaneously leaving out the most difficult questions, letting the witness off the hook, or simply squandering the allotted questioning time (five minutes) such that no substantive answer could possibly have been supplied by the witness. In many cases, to add irony to the proceedings, the representatives had voted for the very legislation they were grilling the witnesses about, including the stimulus packages, bank bailouts, and auto bailouts. As I mentioned above, some people will say that Colbert’s actions were shameful given the forum he chose to deliver his message, and that he somehow undermined the institution. But in my opinion, just the reverse is true – these hearings have failed the American people, and do not serve the public interest in any meaningful respect. Specifically, in terms of the recent financial crisis, the hearings have done next to nothing to expose, analyze, or rectify the fundamental problems that led to the crisis as well as the aftereffects that linger today. So what do I mean by this? Well, for one thing, none of the individuals involved in the crisis and brought to testify have been held properly accountable for their actions, and in some cases, they received promotions (i.e., Timothy Geithner). None of the hearings addressed the problems inherent in the Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac model of government-backed mortgages. None of the hearings addressed the flawed legislation that was passed to encourage homeownership where there shouldn’t be any (see the Community Reinvestment Act). None of the hearings resolved the question of how much government intervention in the marketplace is healthy for an economy. I could go on ad nauseum with these kinds of statements, but you get the picture. All of the financial hearings since 2008 have produced no tangible result that will benefit the country. Going back even further, one could argue that all of the hearings held collectively over the decades have done nothing to rein in a government that has spent our future generations’ money recklessly, racking up a $14 trillion debt, trillion dollar deficits, while hollowing out our manufacturing base through misguided regulation and policies. This bankruptcy has occurred right under the proverbial nose of the Congress and its multitude of hearings.For any attentive observer, it would be fair to conclude that the hearings are simply another dimension of political theater. Colbert arrived at this theater last week ready to perform, and by doing so, he was the only honest man in the room.
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